AI-Based Attacks
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Critical Infrastructure Security
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Fraud Management & Cybercrime
NCSC Expects Attack Volume by ‘Advanced Threat Actors’ to Rise Sharply by 2027

Proliferation of artificial intelligence-enabled technology will widen access to offensive tools by nation-state groups and other hackers. The volume of attacks is expected to rise significantly by 2027, and British critical infrastructure will be a prime target, the National Cybersecurity Center said Wednesday during the CyberUK conference.
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In an assessment report on threats posed by AI, the U.K. National Cybersecurity Center said the technology will “certainly make elements of cyber intrusion operations more effective and efficient.”
“Cyberthreat actors are almost certainly already using AI to enhance existing tactics, techniques and procedures. By 2027, this is highly likely to increase the volume and impact of cyber intrusions through evolution and enhancement of existing TTPs, rather than creating novel threat vectors,” the NCSC said.
While nation-state hackers with access to data and advanced computing capabilities will harness malicious AI capabilities in the short term, other threat groups will focus on tinkering with commercial and open-source AI models to upgrade their malicious capabilities, the agency added.
With enhanced capabilities, both nation state hackers and others are likely to use AI to exploit vulnerabilities and increase the volume of hacks. Hackers also will likely use AI tools for augmenting technical skills and evading detection.
Critical infrastructure sectors that are widely adopting AI are most likely to be hit, the NCSC said. “Assuming a lag, or no change to cybersecurity mitigations, there is a realistic possibility of critical systems becoming more vulnerable to advanced threat actors by 2027,” the NCSC said.
Speaking at CyberUK on Wednesday, Richard Horne, CEO of the U.K. National Cybersecurity Center, said the U.K. government is integrating the AI technology into its secure-by-design initiatives.
“We must remember in the face of these challenges that the contest for cybersecurity is not about any of us working in isolation. Our adversaries see us as an interconnected system, we need to respond, not as individuals, but as a movement working in synergy to defend ourselves and our way of life,” Horne told the attendees.